

136 

FNUS54 KMRX 121937

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

237 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...AND 

DELIVER RAINFALL TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...AND 

WEDNESDAY. THE RAIN MAY CHANGE TO SNOW IN PORTIONS NORTHEAST 

TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE 

MOUNTAINS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN 

END. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

237 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   40-45 (-9)   27-32        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+23)  64-69 (+29)  90-95        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G15                 SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    NW  7        SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.19         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW 24        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+6)   39-44 (-9)   25-30        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+24)  62-67 (+27)  95-100       35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G18                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G21    NW  9 G19    W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.13         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 24         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

237 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   42-47 (-8)   25-30        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+20)  57-62 (+21)  79-84        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G21                  SW  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     NW  7        W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.09         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     W 24         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   46-51 (-6)   28-33        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 58-63 (+20)  81-86        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G19                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     NW  5        SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   45-50 (-7)   27-32        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+12)  61-66 (+23)  79-84        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        W 10 G19     NW  7        W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

237 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   43-48 (-7)   27-32        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+24)  71-76 (+35)  89-94        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G15                 SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     W  7         SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.15         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 24        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

237 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+5)   43-48 (-9)   28-33        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+18)  61-66 (+23)  83-88        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5 G15                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.11         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      SW 23        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

237 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2013 /137 PM CST TUE FEB 12 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   47-52 (-6)   29-34        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+17)  54-59 (+14)  80-85        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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