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501 

FNUS54 KMRX 121521 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1021 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY SHIFT EAST TODAY. HOWEVER...ANOTHER 

AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...AND DELIVER 

RAINFALL TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TUESDAY NIGHT...AND 

WEDNESDAY. THE RAIN MAY CHANGE TO SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE 

PRECIPITATION ENDS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1021 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   35-40 (+5)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-8)   92-97 (+27)  67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1021 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   34-39 (+5)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-8)   95-100 (+28) 66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     SE  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SW 12 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-131630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1021 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   35-40 (+5)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-8)   95-100 (+24) 55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     S  8 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 14 G30     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.16         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SW 33        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND

17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-131630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1021 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    37-42 (+3)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   95-100 (+14) 59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     S  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.18         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-131630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1021 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   38-43 (+5)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-12)  95-100 (+16) 61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.21         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               62 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS

NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1021 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   35-40 (+5)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   95-100 (+29) 71-76        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1021 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    37-42 (+5)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-3)   93-98 (+21)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.13         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1021 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2013 /921 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   39-44 (+5)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   95-100 (+19) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      W 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.17         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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