

945 

FNUS54 KMRX 111944

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

244 PM EST MON FEB 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION AS A COLD FRONT EXITS TO 

THE EAST. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...AND FOR 

MOST ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER...ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK 

ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...AND DELIVER RAINFALL TO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TUESDAY NIGHT...AND WEDNESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

244 PM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-12)  47-52 (-5)   35-40        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-27)  34-39 (-6)   82-87        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      E  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     W  6         LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     S 21         

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-12)  47-52 (-4)   34-39        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-28)  32-37 (-8)   83-88        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 SE  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G24     NW  6        LGT/VAR      S 11 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 29        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-122045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

244 PM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-12)  48-53 (-2)   35-40        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-29)  30-35 (-13)  82-87        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      S  8 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G22     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 13 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.15         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     SW 35        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-122045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-11)  51-56 (-2)   37-42        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-29)  32-37 (-11)  83-88        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     SE  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.17         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      SW 29        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND

18. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-122045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-10)  51-56 (-2)   38-43        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-29)  31-36 (-11)  81-86        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.20         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     SW 28        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND

18. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

244 PM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-13)  49-54 (-4)   35-40        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-25)  36-41 (-4)   85-90        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      E  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW 22        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

244 PM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-13)  49-54 (-5)   37-42        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-25)  37-42 (-1)   82-87        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.08         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

244 PM EST MON FEB 11 2013 /144 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-13)  51-56 (-3)   39-44        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-25)  35-40 (-7)   79-84        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     SE  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.13         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      SW 23        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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