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FNUS54 KMRX 111500 AAA

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FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1000 AM EST MON FEB 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY.

SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL TAPER OFF THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL 

BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST. DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS CAN 

BE EXPECTED TONIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-121600-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1000 AM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   29-34 (-13)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+14)  72-77 (-25)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G20                 W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G22    W 10 G20     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 33                      W 21         

DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-121600-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   28-33 (-13)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+11)  72-77 (-25)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     W 13 G26     W  7 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-121600-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1000 AM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   27-32 (-15)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  76-81 (-21)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     W 11 G23     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-121600-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   30-35 (-15)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+10)  77-82 (-20)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      N 13         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-121600-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   30-35 (-14)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+10)  78-83 (-19)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-121600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1000 AM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   29-34 (-14)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+16)  75-80 (-22)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G21    W  9 G19     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-121600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1000 AM EST MON FEB 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   30-35 (-15)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+8)   79-84 (-18)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-121600-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1000 AM EST MON FEB 11 2013 /900 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   31-36 (-16)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+2)   80-85 (-17)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     W  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      N 10         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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