

675 

FNUS54 KMRX 101934

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

234 PM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN APPROACHING SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN TONIGHT...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT 

TIMES ESPECIALLY NEAR THE ALABAMA AND GEORGIA BORDERS. DRY WEATHER 

WILL RETURN BY MONDAY AFTERNOON..THEN THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL APPROACH 

THE AREA BY MIDWEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

234 PM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+15)  56-61 (0)    31-36        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+28) 32-37 (+13)  66-71        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G22                 W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G27     W 14 G25     W  8 G16     W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 33                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

234 PM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+11)  53-58 (0)    30-35        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+35) 34-39 (+16)  67-72        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G22                  NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 21 G41    W 13 G24     W 10 G21     W  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      NW 22        

DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-112045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

234 PM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+9)   51-56 (+1)   29-34        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+29)  33-38 (+11)  69-74        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G21                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 23 G47     W 12 G23     W  9 G20     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.01         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-112045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

234 PM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+12)  55-60 (+2)   32-37        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+18)  32-37 (+6)   70-75        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 17 G34    W  7         W  5         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.93         0.01         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-112045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

234 PM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+15)  54-59 (+1)   32-37        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+16)  32-37 (+7)   70-75        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G23    W  8 G16     W  5         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.08         0.01         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

234 PM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+15)  56-61 (-1)   31-36        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 33-38 (+15)  69-74        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G20                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G20    W 12 G22     W  7 G15     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

234 PM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+10)  56-61 (0)    32-37        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 31-36 (+9)   69-74        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     W 10 G19     W  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION       7                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

234 PM EST SUN FEB 10 2013 /134 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+11)  58-63 (+5)   33-38        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 31-36 (-3)   71-76        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     W  8 G15     W  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       6                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.81         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW  8        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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