

202 

FNUS54 KMRX 100834

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

334 AM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE 

OVERNIGHT. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT ESPECIALLY 

NEAR THE ALABAMA AND GEORGIA BORDERS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

334 AM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+8)   44-49 (+18)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   90-95 (+21)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G22                 SW 12 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G27     S 14 G28     SW 14 G27    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.49         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      W 36         

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               135 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

334 AM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   42-47 (+14)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    95-100 (+34) 39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G31                 SW 12 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 22 G41     S 23 G42     W 14 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.79         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      W 35         

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   95 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-110945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

334 AM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    44-49 (+13)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   95-100 (+31) 33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G35                  W 14 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 24 G44     S 25 G46     W 13 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         1.19         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      W 33         

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               96 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-110945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

334 AM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   48-53 (+18)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+7)   92-97 (+17)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 15 G34                 W 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 20 G38     S 18 G37     W 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         1.54         0.04         

LAL                   2            3            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 39                      W 25         

DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   86 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-110945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

334 AM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   49-54 (+21)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+12)  87-92 (+11)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G29                 W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 17 G30    SE 13 G26    W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         1.75         0.05         

LAL                   2            3            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 36                      W 26         

DISPERSION            89 GOOD                   90 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

334 AM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+10)  44-49 (+18)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   95-100 (+20) 40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G22                 SW 12 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G27     S 12 G28     W 13 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.65         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      W 32         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               107 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

334 AM EST SUN FEB 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   45-50 (+14)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+11)  95-100 (+20) 35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G26                 W 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G29     S 12 G26     W 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.81         0.02         

LAL                   2            3            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      W 29         

DISPERSION            92 GOOD                   108 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

334 AM EST SUN FEB 10 2013 /234 AM CST SUN FEB 10 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   48-53 (+15)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+16)  91-96 (+12)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G28                  W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G28     S 12 G21     W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         1.18         0.02         

LAL                   2            3            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 39                      W 25         

DISPERSION            106 VERY GOOD             93 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$













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