

486 

FNUS54 KMRX 092005

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

305 PM EST SAT FEB 9 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL RETREAT TO THE NORTHEAST 

OVERNIGHT. THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA LATE TOMORROW 

AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

305 PM EST SAT FEB 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+3)   54-59 (+8)   40-45        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   33-38 (+6)   83-88        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G23     S 10 G24     SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.48         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      W 36         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               137 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EST SAT FEB 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+6)   52-57 (+8)   38-43        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-7)   32-37 (+4)   82-87        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G17                 SW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G35     S 18 G36     W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.78         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 32                      W 35         

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               92 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-102115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

305 PM EST SAT FEB 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+6)   52-57 (+5)   41-46        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-8)   37-42 (+11)  81-86        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G20                  W 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 17 G41     S 20 G42     W 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         1.18         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            3            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 38                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-102115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EST SAT FEB 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+5)   55-60 (+4)   45-50        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+7)   39-44 (+10)  78-83        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G30     S 14 G31     W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         1.53         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 39                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-102115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EST SAT FEB 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+4)   56-61 (+4)   46-51        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+16)  40-45 (+12)  74-79        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G23    SE  9 G22    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         1.74         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 36                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   84 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

305 PM EST SAT FEB 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   56-61 (+8)   40-45        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+11)  31-36 (+4)   86-91        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G19     SE  6 G19    W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.64         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      W 31         

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               104 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

305 PM EST SAT FEB 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+6)   55-60 (+4)   42-47        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+4)   38-43 (+12)  87-92        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     S  8 G19     W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.80         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            3            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 35                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   109 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

305 PM EST SAT FEB 9 2013 /205 PM CST SAT FEB 9 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+8)   56-61 (+4)   45-50        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+7)   42-47 (+13)  82-87        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5 G18                 W  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     S  9 G17     W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.34         1.17         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 37                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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