

482 

FNUS54 KMRX 081940

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

240 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013





...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SATURDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A BRIEF SHOT OF COLDER AIR WILL PUSH IN EARLY TONIGHT BEHIND A 

RETREATING COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE 

NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES 

THE AREA ON SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

240 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-16)  44-49 (-1)   27-32        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-4)   22-27 (-30)  62-67        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      S 25         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-16)  44-49 (-2)   27-32        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-23)  21-26 (-28)  61-66        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      S 11 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G24    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 15 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      S 28         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-092045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

240 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-16)  48-53 (+2)   31-36        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-24)  19-24 (-34)  58-63        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      S  5         S 17 G32     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     S 33         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...BREEZY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-092045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-15)  54-59 (+4)   34-39        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-25)  18-23 (-34)  61-66        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 18 G31     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     S 38         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-092045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-15)  56-61 (+7)   31-36        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-23)  17-22 (-37)  64-69        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 16 G28    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      S 35         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    70 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

240 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-16)  49-54 (-1)   27-32        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-22)  21-26 (-26)  70-75        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     S 24         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

240 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-16)  51-56 (+1)   31-36        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-23)  21-26 (-24)  68-73        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     S 33         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-092045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

240 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013 /140 PM CST FRI FEB 8 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-16)  53-58 (+2)   34-39        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-24)  21-26 (-24)  68-73        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     S 11 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 14 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                              5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.34         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      S 39         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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