

946 

FNUS54 KMRX 080827

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

327 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. SHOWERS WILL 

ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST 

TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-090930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

327 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-9)   20-25 (-16)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   81-86 (-4)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G19                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW 11 G22    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     N 20         

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-090930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-6)   20-25 (-15)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   74-79 (-9)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G20                  NW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G29    NW 14 G30    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     N 23         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-090930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

327 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   21-26 (-16)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   75-80 (-14)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G22                  NE  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G25    NW 10 G24    NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     N 18         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-090930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    23-28 (-15)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-11)  76-81 (-20)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    N 10 G22     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N 20         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-090930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

327 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   23-28 (-14)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-19)  74-79 (-23)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    N 11 G22     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     N 20         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-090930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

327 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-9)   22-27 (-15)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+8)   77-82 (-9)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      N 15         

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-090930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

327 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   23-28 (-16)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   77-82 (-9)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G17                  NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    N  7 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NE 16        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-090930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

327 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013 /227 AM CST FRI FEB 8 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   25-30 (-15)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-6)   76-81 (-15)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G18                  NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    N  9 G17     NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     NE 18        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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