

169 

FNUS54 KMRX 071932

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

232 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR SOUTH WILL TRACK BY TO OUR SOUTHEAST 

AND EAST TONIGHT...THEN A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH OUR AREA 

DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR FRIDAY NIGHT 

AND SATURDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

232 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+2)   44-49 (-9)   21-26        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+15)  50-55 (+6)   84-89        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     NW  8 G16    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

232 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+2)   43-48 (-5)   21-26        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+8)   52-57 (+2)   76-81        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5 G17                  NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        W 13 G26     NW 10 G20    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 31                     N 16         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-082045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

232 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+3)   45-50 (-1)   22-27        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+6)   53-58 (-3)   72-77        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G20                  NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5 G16     NW 10 G22    NW  9 G19    NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NE 12        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-082045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

232 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+5)   50-55 (+1)   24-29        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   49-54 (-13)  74-79        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G19    N  8 G16     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NE 10        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-082045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

232 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+5)   52-57 (+4)   24-29        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  49-54 (-19)  71-76        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G20    N  9 G18     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

232 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+4)   46-51 (-8)   23-28        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   48-53 (+4)   78-83        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     NW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     N  9         

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

232 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   48-53 (-5)   24-29        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   48-53 (+5)   77-82        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    N  6         NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NE 10        

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

232 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013 /132 PM CST THU FEB 7 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   51-56 (-1)   26-31        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   44-49 (-8)   76-81        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G18                  NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    N  7         NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      NE 12        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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