

725 

FNUS54 KMRX 070858

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

358 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED 

STATES TODAY RESULTING IN A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN TO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO 

VALLEY TOWARD THE REGION LATER TONIGHT BRINGING MORE RAIN TO THE 

AREA ON FRIDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-081000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

358 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   34-39 (+3)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+15)  95-100 (+14) 55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-081000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

358 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-5)   33-38 (+2)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+22)  94-99 (+17)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G15                 W  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE  7 G15    NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.08         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-081000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

358 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   36-41 (+3)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+22)  93-98 (+16)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.05         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-081000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

358 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-8)   38-43 (+6)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+27)  95-100 (+6)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.05         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      N 18         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-081000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

358 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-10)  37-42 (+6)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+30)  95-100 (+3)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       6            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.06         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-081000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

358 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   34-39 (+4)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+12)  95-100 (+9)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-081000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

358 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   38-43 (+5)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+15)  90-95 (+6)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      N 18         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-081000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

358 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013 /258 AM CST THU FEB 7 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-7)   40-45 (+4)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+23)  95-100 (+10) 48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      N 20         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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