

282 

FNUS54 KMRX 062002

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

302 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL RETREAT TO THE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...BRINGING 

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN ON THURSDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

302 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   47-52 (-2)   34-39        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   54-59 (+17)  91-96        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.26         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+5)   45-50 (-5)   33-38        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-7)   56-61 (+20)  89-94        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     W  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         SE  5        NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.39         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      NW 24        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-072115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

302 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+6)   46-51 (-7)   36-41        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-3)   53-58 (+21)  86-91        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.30         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-072115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+3)   50-55 (-9)   38-43        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 54-59 (+25)  91-96        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           70           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.28         0.26         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 16                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-072115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+4)   50-55 (-10)  37-42        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 55-60 (+25)  91-96        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.34         0.32         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

302 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+2)   50-55 (-3)   34-39        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   52-57 (+15)  90-95        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.27         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      NW 18        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

302 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+3)   51-56 (-6)   38-43        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   52-57 (+20)  86-91        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.18         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      N 16         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

302 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 /202 PM CST WED FEB 6 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   52-57 (-8)   38-43        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+9)   53-58 (+23)  88-93        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.17         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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