

591 

FNUS54 KMRX 051945

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

245 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE AREA WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES 

THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA 

THURSDAY...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON 

THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

245 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-4)   46-51 (+4)   28-33        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   44-49 (-19)  83-88        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SE  9        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   46-51 (+4)   28-33        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   40-45 (-19)  84-89        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SE  9        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-062045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

245 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   49-54 (+5)   30-35        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    38-43 (-22)  82-87        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     S 10         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-062045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   54-59 (+5)   33-38        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   35-40 (-23)  91-96        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SE 12        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-062045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    54-59 (+4)   33-38        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   34-39 (-24)  87-92        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.21         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SE 12        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

245 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   49-54 (+4)   29-34        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   41-46 (-19)  87-92        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     SE  8        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

245 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-5)   51-56 (+3)   31-36        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   40-45 (-16)  86-91        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     SE  9        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

245 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2013 /145 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   55-60 (+4)   35-40        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   38-43 (-20)  87-92        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SE  9        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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