

353 

FNUS54 KMRX 040756

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

256 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...WILL 

BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. A 

GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP FOR MOST THIS WEEK. TEMPERATURES 

WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEK...AHEAD OF A STRONG 

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT APPROACHES ON THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

256 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   29-34 (+12)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-17)  82-87 (+9)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SW  7        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 24         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   30-35 (+13)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-19)  75-80 (+3)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  6        W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 28         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-050900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

256 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   31-36 (+13)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-22)  72-77 (-2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    S  8 G18     SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 25         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. LOWS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-050900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   32-37 (+13)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-22)  80-85 (+7)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  6         SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W 21         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-050900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+12)  31-36 (+13)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-28)  81-86 (+3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W 22         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               35 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             6                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. LOWS NEAR 30.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

256 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+6)   30-35 (+12)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-17)  84-89 (+11)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 22         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

256 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   32-37 (+13)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-16)  82-87 (+9)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  6        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 20         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

256 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013 /156 AM CST MON FEB 4 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   33-38 (+11)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-14)  84-89 (+16)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  6         W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 20         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















