

513 

FNUS54 KMRX 031957

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



.DISCUSSION...

DRIER CONDITIONS WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND DEVELOPING FOR MOST THIS 

WEEK. IN FACT...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF 

THE WEEK...AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES ON THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-8)   37-42 (+4)   30-35        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-23)  43-48 (-17)  84-89        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     SW  9 G19    SW 10 G18    SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 21         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-6)   38-43 (+4)   29-34        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-21)  41-46 (-15)  84-89        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G31     SW  7 G18    SW 10 G22    W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 25         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-042045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-7)   39-44 (+4)   29-34        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-16)  38-43 (-15)  84-89        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G26    SW 10 G24    SW 12 G26    W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-042045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-9)   45-50 (+5)   31-36        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-13)  34-39 (-17)  83-88        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    S  8 G19     S  8 G19     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-042045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-10)  45-50 (+8)   29-34        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-12)  32-37 (-22)  83-88        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G20    SW  6        SW  5        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-9)   40-45 (+4)   30-35        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-21)  41-46 (-15)  86-91        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     SW  6        SW  8 G17    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-10)  43-48 (+4)   32-37        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-18)  37-42 (-16)  84-89        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G16    SW 10 G19    SW  8 G17    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013 /200 PM CST SUN FEB 3 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-6)   47-52 (+2)   34-39        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-23)  33-38 (-12)  77-82        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        S  9 G17     SW  6 G15    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$







