

945 

FNUS54 KMRX 031554 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1055 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



.DISCUSSION...

CLEARING SKIES WILL ARRIVE TONIGHT...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND 

DEVELOPING FOR MOST THE WEEK. IN FACT...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE 

NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041645-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1055 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+5)   15-20 (-9)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-6)   79-84 (-18)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  9 G20     SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 20         

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041645-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1055 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+6)   16-21 (-6)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   76-81 (-19)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G24                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G30     NW 15 G31    SW  7 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      W 21         

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ072-074-041645-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1055 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+5)   17-22 (-6)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   73-78 (-18)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G25                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G28     NW 10 G27    SW  9 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      W 16         

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-041645-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1055 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+5)   18-23 (-9)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-9)   71-76 (-17)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW  8 G21    S  7 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 10         

DISPERSION            84 GOOD                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-041645-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1055 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+6)   18-23 (-8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   72-77 (-19)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    NW 11 G22    S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      W 12         

DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   7 POOR       

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1055 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+7)   17-22 (-9)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-5)   77-82 (-18)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     W  9 G19     SW  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 14         

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1055 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+7)   17-22 (-11)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-17)  80-85 (-13)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W  6 G16     SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            96 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041645-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1055 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013 /955 AM CST SUN FEB 3 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+8)   20-25 (-7)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-17)  73-78 (-20)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW  5 G16    S  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            108 VERY GOOD             14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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