

364 

FNUS54 KMRX 030752

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

252 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW COULD BRING SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS TO 

SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...AND THE MOUNTAINS THIS 

MORNING. CLEARING SKIES WILL ARRIVE TONIGHT. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND 

WILL THEN DEVELOP FOR MOST THIS WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING 

ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

252 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+5)   15-20 (-7)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-5)   83-88 (-13)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G16                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10         W  8 G17     SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 20         

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

252 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+6)   16-21 (-7)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   77-82 (-18)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G22                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     NW 11 G23    SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      W 21         

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ072-074-040900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

252 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   17-22 (-7)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   79-84 (-14)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G25                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     NW  8 G20    SW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      W 16         

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-040900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

252 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+8)   18-23 (-7)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-11)  77-82 (-11)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW  7 G17    S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 10         

DISPERSION            84 GOOD                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-040900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

252 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+11)  18-23 (-7)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-9)   75-80 (-15)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      W 12         

DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   7 POOR       

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

252 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+7)   17-22 (-7)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-4)   79-84 (-16)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 14         

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

252 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+8)   18-23 (-8)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-15)  81-86 (-13)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     NW  6        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            96 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

252 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013 /152 AM CST SUN FEB 3 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+9)   20-25 (-6)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-18)  78-83 (-12)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    NW  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            108 VERY GOOD             14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$















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