

289 

FNUS54 KMRX 022001

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW THAT WILL LINGER INTO 

SUNDAY. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP FOR MOST OF NEXT 

WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+13)  31-36 (+1)   17-22        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+9)   55-60 (-3)   72-77        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G19                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    W 12 G22     W 11 G21     SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.06         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS NEAR 

30. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+12)  32-37 (+2)   16-21        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+6)   52-57 (+5)   73-78        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G26                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G24     W 16 G31     NW 16 G31    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS NEAR 

30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-032045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+8)   35-40 (+3)   16-21        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+15)  46-51 (+4)   81-86        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G27                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G26     W 15 G29     NW 12 G27    SW  6 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      W 13         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-032045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+9)   40-45 (+3)   18-23        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+9)   39-44 (-10)  79-84        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    W 12 G22     NW  7 G18    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      W  8         

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S 

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-032045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+8)   40-45 (+5)   18-23        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+12)  38-43 (-6)   73-78        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW 14 G25    NW 10 G22    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         89 GOOD                   7 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+8)   35-40 (+3)   17-22        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+3)   48-53 (-2)   76-81        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W 13 G23     W 11 G20     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      W 12         

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+8)   38-43 (+4)   18-23        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+10)  44-49 (-16)  81-86        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W 12 G22     NW  7 G18    SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      W 10         

DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO 

MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013 /200 PM CST SAT FEB 2 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+8)   44-49 (+6)   20-25        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+10)  37-42 (-17)  79-84        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G21                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     NW 12 G24    NW  5        S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      W  8         

DISPERSION                         109 VERY GOOD             10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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