

042 

FNUS54 KMRX 020814

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

314 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY 

...CREATING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND SNOW THAT WILL LINGER INTO 

SUNDAY. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE 

MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. A GRADUAL 

WARMING TREND WILL ARRIVE FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-030915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

314 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+12)  24-29 (+13)  30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+16)  89-94 (+9)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  7 G15    W 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.13         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 32         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-030915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+12)  23-28 (+13)  30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+8)   85-90 (+6)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    W  9 G18     W 14 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           50           

PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.13         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 35         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-030915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

314 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+11)  23-28 (+11)  33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+10)  93-98 (+23)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G18                 W 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    SW 11 G23    W 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.10         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 32         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-030915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  26-31 (+11)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+12)  87-92 (+20)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  W  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  8 G17    W 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 29         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-030915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  25-30 (+11)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+8)   90-95 (+20)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  7        W 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NW 31        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               77 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-030915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

314 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+11)  26-31 (+14)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+13)  83-88 (+6)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  7        W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.09         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 31         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   86 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-030915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

314 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+9)   26-31 (+10)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  83-88 (+12)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  6        W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 29         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-030915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

314 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013 /214 AM CST SAT FEB 2 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   27-32 (+8)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+11)  80-85 (+17)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        W  7 G16     NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     NW 28        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$













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