

029 

FNUS54 KMRX 011954

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

255 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...BRINGING A VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS INTO THE AREA. AN 

UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND... 

CREATING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION. A GRADUAL WARMING 

TREND WILL BEGIN THIS WEEKEND...AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

255 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (0)    32-37 (+13)  25-30        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   53-58 (+10)  90-95        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 W 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW  8 G15    W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           70           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.11         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 32         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 22. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 

MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (0)    32-37 (+13)  24-29        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   50-55 (+7)   87-92        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W 14 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    W 12 G23     W 17 G32     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.07         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 35         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-022045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

255 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (+3)   32-37 (+10)  24-29        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   48-53 (+12)  86-91        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G18                 W 13 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G28    SW 13 G28    W 16 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.06         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 32         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 

20 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN 

THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-022045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+2)   37-42 (+9)   27-32        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-9)   46-51 (+15)  82-87        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  W  8 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    SW  9 G21    NW 14 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W 29         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-022045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-3)   36-41 (+8)   26-31        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-17)  47-52 (+16)  82-87        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G15                  W 10 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    SW  7 G16    NW 15 G27    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 31        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               77 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

255 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (-2)   35-40 (+13)  26-31        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   49-54 (+9)   86-91        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    SW  8 G16    W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.09         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W 31         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   86 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

255 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+1)   36-41 (+10)  26-31        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   48-53 (+13)  87-92        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    SW  7 G16    W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 29         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 

50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

255 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 /155 PM CST FRI FEB 1 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+2)   39-44 (+7)   28-33        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-4)   43-48 (+14)  82-87        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  W  8 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    SW  6 G15    NW 12 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 28        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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