

719 

FNUS54 KMRX 011507 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



...VERY COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY...BRINGING A VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS INTO THE AREA. AN UPPER 

LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND... 

CREATING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION. A GRADUAL WARMING 

TREND WILL START THIS WEEKEND...AND CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021500-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-14)  12-17 (+2)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   70-75 (-9)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G19                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            70           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. WEST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021500-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-14)  11-16 (+1)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-5)   67-72 (-12)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G29                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G22     W  5         SW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            70           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      10 AM        

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     W 26         

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 20. WEST WINDS 10 

TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-021500-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-13)  13-18 (+4)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-10)  71-76 (-3)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G21                 SW  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      10 AM        

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO 

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-021500-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  16-21 (+2)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  68-73 (-9)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G18                  S  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS NEAR 

30. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-021500-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  15-20 (-3)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-11)  75-80 (-14)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             1                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS NEAR 

30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-15)  12-17 (-2)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   75-80 (+3)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            70           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-13)  15-20 (+1)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  71-76 (+4)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     SW  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021500-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 /905 AM CST FRI FEB 1 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-10)  19-24 (+3)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-13)  63-68 (-5)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G15                 S  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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