

332 

FNUS54 KMRX 310916

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

416 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013



.DISCUSSION...

COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO THE REGION TODAY...BEHIND THE 

PASSING COLD FRONT. A FAST MOVING DISTURBANCE AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT 

MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT...BRINGING SNOW SHOWERS AND A LIGHT SNOW 

ACCUMULATION TO PARTS OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWESTERN 

VIRGINIA. RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS ARE ALSO EXPECTED AGAIN ON SATURDAY.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS FOR THE 

NEXT FEW DAYS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

416 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-32)  13-18 (-11)  23-28        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-13)  87-92 (-8)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G24                  NW 12 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     SW  9 G20    W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NW 24        

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 19. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

416 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-31)  14-19 (-8)   22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-19)  84-89 (-12)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G28                  NW 15 G29    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     W 12 G24     W 11 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      NW 28        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 18. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-011030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

416 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-28)  16-21 (-5)   25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-21)  82-87 (-9)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G26                  NW 12 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G27     SW 13 G32    NW  8 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.13         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NW 24        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 20. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-011030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

416 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-25)  20-25 (-4)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-23)  75-80 (-12)  16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G20                  NW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     SW 10 G24    NW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 22        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 21. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-011030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

416 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-26)  21-26 (-3)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-25)  76-81 (-13)  15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G21                  NW 13 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     SW  8 G20    NW  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      NW 26        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

416 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-30)  16-21 (-10)  26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-19)  82-87 (-9)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G24                  W 12 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     SW  9 G20    W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 22         

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 19. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

416 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-28)  17-22 (-9)   28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-18)  76-81 (-7)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G20                  NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     SW  9 G18    NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

416 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 /316 AM CST THU JAN 31 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-24)  21-26 (-6)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-16)  67-72 (-17)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G18                  NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     SW  9 G18    NW  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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