

550 

FNUS54 KMRX 301959

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013



.DISCUSSION...

COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT 

BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. RAIN SHOWERS THIS EVENING MAY 

CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS BEFORE ENDING...BUT ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS 

SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL 

QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER 

CHANCE FOR SNOW AND LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED 

TO FALL BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-312100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-26)  33-38 (-30)  14-19        23-28        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   41-46 (-18)  67-72        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G25                  NW 13 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G27     W 14 G24     SW 11 G22    W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.01         0.08         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      NW 24        

DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 16. SOUTH WINDS UP TO10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS 

COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-312100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-28)  32-37 (-30)  13-18        22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 41-46 (-18)  65-70        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 16 G29                  NW 16 G31    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 18 G34     W 16 G28     W 13 G28     NW 12 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.01         0.07         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 33                      NW 28        

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-312100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-30)  34-39 (-27)  15-20        24-29        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+7)   38-43 (-23)  61-66        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G28                  NW 12 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 17 G35     W 14 G27     SW 16 G35    NW  8 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.01         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      NW 24        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN

THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-312100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-31)  38-43 (-25)  18-23        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-2)   36-41 (-24)  59-64        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G21                  NW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G29     W 11 G21     SW 11 G28    NW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      10 PM                     

PRECIP END            4 AM                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NW 22        

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 21. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT 

AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-312100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-30)  37-42 (-26)  18-23        27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    37-42 (-26)  59-64        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G22                  NW 14 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G26     W 12 G23     SW  9 G23    NW  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      10 PM                     

PRECIP END            4 AM                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      NW 26        

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   63 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          1                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 

SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-312100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-28)  36-41 (-29)  15-20        26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+7)   39-44 (-18)  62-67        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G24                  W 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G30     W 14 G24     SW  9 G24    W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                         2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM                      

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.00         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS 

COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-312100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-29)  38-43 (-27)  16-21        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-14)  36-41 (-16)  60-65        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G21                  NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G27     W 11 G21     SW  9 G22    W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM                      

PRECIP END            7 AM                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      NW 18        

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 21. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS 

COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-312100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 /200 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-27)  41-46 (-24)  19-24        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-24)  34-39 (-15)  57-62        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G28     W 11 G20     SW 10 G21    NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      10 PM                     

PRECIP END            1 AM                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 22. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 

SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







