

872 

FNUS54 KMRX 300924

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

424 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WINDY CONDITIONS AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED 

TODAY...AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE 

FRONT...DROPPING TEMPERATURES BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE END 

OF THE WORK WEEK. A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BRING A 

LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION SATURDAY NIGHT...TO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN 

VIRGINIA AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-311030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

424 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   24-29 (-32)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   95-100 (+10) 43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 18 G35                  W 15 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G36     SW 15 G27    W 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.35         0.19         0.01         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 55                      W 26         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 12 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. NOT

AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-311030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

424 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-5)   23-28 (-34)  31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+5)   95-100 (+12) 41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 20 G37                  W 16 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 21 G37     W 17 G35     W 15 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.42         0.22         0.01         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 55                      W 31         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 13 TO 25. WEST WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. NOT

AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-311030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

424 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   22-27 (-34)  33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   90-95 (+6)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 24 G47                  W 15 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 24 G46     W 18 G37     W 13 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.49         0.14         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 63                      W 26         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 11 TO 25.

WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE TEENS TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-311030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

424 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   24-29 (-35)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-7)   90-95 (0)    33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 20 G39                  W 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 21 G40     W 16 G30     W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.59         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 57                      W 20         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 17 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-311030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

424 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   23-28 (-34)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-6)   93-98 (+2)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 17 G31                  W 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 21 G39     W 15 G30     W 11 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.77         0.12         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 54                      W 23         

DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 19 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-311030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

424 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   26-31 (-31)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   91-96 (+11)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 17 G33                  W 14 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 18 G34     SW 15 G31    W 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.37         0.17         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 52                      W 25         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 16 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 21. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. NOT

AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-311030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

424 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   26-31 (-32)  37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   81-86 (-5)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 20 G36                  W 12 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G35    W 15 G26     W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.22         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 51                     W 21         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

18 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-311030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

424 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013 /324 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   26-31 (-32)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-15)  81-86 (-8)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 19 G33                  W 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G31    W 15 G28     W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.17         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 47                     W 17         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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