

322 

FNUS54 KMRX 292050

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

350 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



.DISCUSSION...

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE CONSIDERABLY OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD STRONG 

FRONT. WINDY CONDITIONS...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TO SEVERE 

STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION. COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT...DROPPING 

TEMPERATURES BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK 

WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-302200-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

350 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   63-68 (+1)   24-29        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+5)   49-54 (-10)  92-97        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 16 G32                  W 13 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     SW 17 G33    W 13 G23     W 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         1.26         0.19         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 54                      W 26         

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

12 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-302200-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

350 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   62-67 (-2)   23-28        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 52-57 (+5)   88-93        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G34                  W 15 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     SW 16 G32    W 15 G28     W 14 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         1.27         0.24         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 55                      W 31         

DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

12 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-302200-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

350 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  59-64 (-1)   21-26        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    51-56 (-8)   86-91        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 21 G44                  W 14 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G26     SW 20 G44    W 17 G34     W 12 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            7            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         1.54         0.14         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 63                      W 26         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

11 TO 26. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-302200-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

350 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+12)  63-68 (+1)   25-30        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   48-53 (-19)  80-85        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 19 G39                  W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G26     SW 16 G39    W 13 G24     W  9 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         1.54         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 55                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 17 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-302200-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

350 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+15)  63-68 (+3)   26-31        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-3)   50-55 (-20)  85-90        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 15 G32                  W 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G19    SW 15 G32    W 11 G22     W  9 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         1.63         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 53                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         96 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 19 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-302200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

350 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   64-69 (-2)   26-31        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   45-50 (-8)   76-81        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 16 G30                  W 12 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SW 16 G30    W 14 G25     W 12 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         1.36         0.16         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 49                      W 25         

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

15 TO 26. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 23. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-302200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

350 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+8)   65-70 (+3)   26-31        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   37-42 (-25)  75-80        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G32                  W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     SW 14 G30    W 15 G28     W  9 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         1.20         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 52                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

18 TO 28. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-302200-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

350 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013 /250 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+11)  63-68 (+5)   27-32        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   39-44 (-35)  72-77        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 17 G31                  W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G24     SW 16 G31    W 15 G32     W  8 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         1.05         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 48                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













