

966 

FNUS54 KMRX 290917

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

417 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHERLY WINDS INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 

WILL CONTINUE A WARMING TREND. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE CONSIDERABLY BY 

LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD STRONG FRONT. WINDY 

CONDITIONS AND STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY 

MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND 

THE COLD FRONT...DROPPING TEMPERATURES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-301030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

417 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+12)  50-55 (+7)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-13)  89-94 (+1)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  S 20 G39     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    S  9 G20     SW 17 G39    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         1.00         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     SW 39        

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

19 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-301030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+5)   47-52 (+8)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   91-96 (+10)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S 21 G41     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    S 11 G27     SW 20 G41    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         1.11         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     S 35         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-301030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

417 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+5)   49-54 (+10)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   85-90 (-1)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  S 27 G51     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G22    S 14 G36     SW 20 G50    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         1.29         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

19 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-301030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+6)   53-58 (+12)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   91-96 (+2)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  S 23 G42     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S 12 G30     SW 17 G40    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         1.32         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 32         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-301030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+9)   53-58 (+15)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   90-95 (-3)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S 19 G35     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  9 G22     SW 16 G33    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         1.39         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 32        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO

15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-301030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

417 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+8)   50-55 (+9)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   85-90 (+1)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 19 G37     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    S  7 G17     SW 19 G37    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         1.14         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-301030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

417 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+13)  52-57 (+8)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-8)   83-88 (-4)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  S 21 G37     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     S 11 G27     SW 18 G35    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         1.14         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     SW 37        

DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-301030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

417 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013 /317 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+13)  54-59 (+11)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   83-88 (-6)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  S 21 G37     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     S 12 G26     SW 16 G29    

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         1.05         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     SW 37        

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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