

615 

FNUS54 KMRX 281951

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

251 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHERLY WINDS INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 

WILL CONTINUE A WARMING TREND. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE CONSIDERABLY BY 

TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WITH SCATTERED 

THUNDERSTORMS AND WINDY CONDITIONS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

251 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   63-68 (+12)  49-54        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+10)  47-52 (-16)  95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  S 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  9 G18    S  5         SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.01         0.93         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 47        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   88 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+3)   62-67 (+5)   47-52        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+11)  46-51 (-3)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S 12 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  7 G15    S  6 G17     W 12 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         1.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 47        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

19 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-292100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

251 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (0)    60-65 (+5)   49-54        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+14)  52-57 (-4)   95-100       49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  SW 18 G38    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     SW 10 G22    S 11 G28     SW 14 G34    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         1.22         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     SW 46        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 18 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-292100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    63-68 (+6)   52-57        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 58-63 (+1)   95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  SW 12 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S  8 G17     S  9 G24     SW  9 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         1.25         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     SW 39        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   109 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-292100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   62-67 (+9)   52-57        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+23) 59-64 (-2)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7         SW  5 G16    SW  8 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         1.32         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 40        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   86 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

251 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   64-69 (+8)   49-54        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+11)  46-51 (-7)   95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         1.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW 44        

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

251 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   64-69 (+13)  52-57        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+15)  52-57 (-9)   93-98        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  SW 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S 10 G20     S  5 G15     SW 10 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         1.11         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     SW 39        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               112 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-292100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

251 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013 /151 PM CST MON JAN 28 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   65-70 (+14)  53-58        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+24)  55-60 (-5)   93-98        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  SW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S 10 G20     S  7 G17     SW 10 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         1.05         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 39         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               128 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















