

544 

FNUS54 KMRX 280959

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

459 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 

WILL BRING MILD TEMPERATURES...AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN FOR MOST 

AREAS INTO TUESDAY. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE CONSIDERABLY BY TUESDAY 

NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 

ARE EXPECTED WITH WINDY CONDITIONS ALSO DEVELOPING. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-291100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

459 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+6)   40-45 (+6)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+15)  93-98 (+19)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  S  6 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW  8 G15    SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 24        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-291100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

459 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   37-42 (+3)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+12)  92-97 (+18)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  6        SW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SPRINKLES    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            10           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-291100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

459 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+6)   37-42 (+1)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+26)  95-100 (+11) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G24                  S  9 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    S  8 G16     SW 12 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SPRINKLES    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO

20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-291100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

459 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   40-45 (+1)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+20)  95-100 (+5)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  S  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G18     S  7 G15     S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SPRINKLES    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-291100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

459 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   38-43 (-1)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+13)  95-100 (+1)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SPRINKLES    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 24        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO

10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-291100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

459 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+6)   38-43 (+2)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+9)   95-100 (+22) 48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SPRINKLES    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 22        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-291100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

459 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+6)   41-46 (+2)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+10)  95-100 (+21) 52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  S  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    S  8 G16     S 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-291100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

459 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013 /359 AM CST MON JAN 28 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   43-48 (+3)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   95-100 (+13) 55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  7 G15     S  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SPRINKLES    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SW 28        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







TG/TD





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