

768 

FNUS54 KMRX 272042

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

342 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST OF THE REGION. A 

WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE 

FOR LIGHT RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND WARMING TREND WILL REMAIN 

THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

342 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+13)  54-59 (+9)   40-45        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-4)   55-60 (+9)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  7         SW  6        S  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW 25        

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

342 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+10)  51-56 (+8)   37-42        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   54-59 (+10)  95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SW  5        SW  5        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 18.

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-282145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

342 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+8)   52-57 (+7)   37-42        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+20)  58-63 (+25)  95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G15                  SW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  8 G15    SW  7        S 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            4 AM         1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     SW 24        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO

15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. COLDER. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 20.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-282145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

342 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+7)   54-59 (+4)   40-45        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 60-65 (+21)  95-100       55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  8 G15     S  6         S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END                         1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     SW 25        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-282145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

342 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+8)   54-59 (+2)   38-43        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 61-66 (+18)  95-100       54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  6         LGT/VAR      S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING                1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

342 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+12)  55-60 (+8)   38-43        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-8)   53-58 (+6)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. COLDER. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

342 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+11)  55-60 (+8)   41-46        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    56-61 (+7)   95-100       56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  S  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7 G15     S  6         S 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 28        

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

342 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013 /242 PM CST SUN JAN 27 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+10)  56-61 (+6)   43-48        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   56-61 (+6)   95-100       57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  S  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  8 G16     S  6         S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 28        

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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