

376 

FNUS54 KMRX 270941

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS...BRINGING 

SOUTHERLY FLOW AND A WARMING TREND INTO TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A 

CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT...AS A WARM FRONT MOVES NORTHEAST 

INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+9)   34-39 (+14)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-16)  72-77 (-10)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  5        SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   32-37 (+11)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-14)  72-77 (-4)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  9 G16    SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 26        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-281030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+7)   32-37 (+9)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   74-79 (+3)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     SW 11 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

25 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY...SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND CHANCE OF SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

25 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-281030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   33-38 (+8)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-2)   82-87 (+7)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  8 G17    S  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW 25        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-281030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   31-36 (+9)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-9)   83-88 (+3)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  6        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 24        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   38 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   33-38 (+13)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-17)  74-79 (-12)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   35-40 (+12)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-10)  72-77 (-8)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  6 G16     SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013 /341 AM CST SUN JAN 27 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   36-41 (+11)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   78-83 (-2)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G15                 S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  9 G19     S  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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