

657 

FNUS54 KMRX 252022

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

322 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. 

IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY SATURDAY WITH A WARMING TREND 

DEVELOPING EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

322 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+5)   32-37 (+5)   17-22        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+30) 48-53 (-2)   74-79        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     SW  6        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

322 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+4)   33-38 (+6)   20-25        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+34) 40-45 (-10)  67-72        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G23     NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-262130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

322 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+4)   37-42 (+9)   22-27        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+28) 33-38 (-21)  69-74        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G25     NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...WINDY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-262130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

322 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+2)   42-47 (+11)  25-30        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+23) 31-36 (-26)  76-81        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

25 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-262130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

322 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+2)   43-48 (+12)  23-28        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 29-34 (-35)  82-87        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     S  8         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

25 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

322 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+5)   38-43 (+8)   19-24        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+32) 43-48 (-5)   79-84        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     S  5         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

322 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (0)    40-45 (+9)   22-27        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+35) 41-46 (+1)   78-83        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

322 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2013 /222 PM CST FRI JAN 25 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    44-49 (+11)  24-29        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+32) 31-36 (-7)   84-89        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         NE  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     S 14         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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