

456 

FNUS54 KMRX 250914

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

414 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF 

PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY EVENING 

HOURS. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...SLEET OR SNOW WILL AFFECT MOST OF THE 

TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A MIX WITH RAIN IS 

EXPECTED LATER TODAY...BEFORE THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION ENDS.  

IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY SATURDAY WITH A WARMING TREND 

DEVELOPING EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE NORMAL

AGAIN.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

414 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   21-26 (+5)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+14)  95-100 (+19) 47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G15                 W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    W  6         NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 23. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

414 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   21-26 (+6)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+17)  95-100 (+18) 40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G24                  W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G23    W  9 G22     NW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      NW 29        

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 28. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-261015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

414 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   25-30 (+6)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+25)  95-100 (+10) 19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G27                  NW  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G25    W  8 G23     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-261015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

414 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-3)   29-34 (+6)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+28)  95-100 (+11) 23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G26                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G25     LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-261015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

414 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   30-35 (+8)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+36)  95-100 (+15) 18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G22     LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      NW 22        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             8                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

414 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   24-29 (+6)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+16)  95-100 (+17) 41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G16                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 29. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

414 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   25-30 (+3)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+9)   95-100 (+10) 39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G18    W  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

414 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2013 /314 AM CST FRI JAN 25 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   27-32 (+2)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+6)   95-100 (+8)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G26                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G22    LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









