

948 

FNUS54 KMRX 241507

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1007 AM EST THU JAN 24 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX OF 

PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A COMBINATION 

OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW IS POSSIBLE.  IMPROVING 

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AND A WARMING TREND DEVELOPING 

EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE NORMAL.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251615-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1007 AM EST THU JAN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   16-21 (-10)  29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+3)   67-72 (-25)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.23         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      SW 22        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 17 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-251615-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1007 AM EST THU JAN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   15-20 (-10)  31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   65-70 (-25)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G23                 SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G18     LGT/VAR      SW  5 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-251615-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1007 AM EST THU JAN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-3)   19-24 (-11)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-1)   66-71 (-25)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G19                  SW  8 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7 G16    SE  5        SW  9 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.29         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     SW 36        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-251615-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1007 AM EST THU JAN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   22-27 (-13)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   73-78 (-24)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G18                  SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.32         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 22                      SW 32        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-251615-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1007 AM EST THU JAN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   22-27 (-13)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   81-86 (-16)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

MAX LVORI             1                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-251615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1007 AM EST THU JAN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   18-23 (-11)  31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   69-74 (-19)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.26         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      SW 21        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-251615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1007 AM EST THU JAN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   21-26 (-11)  33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   68-73 (-22)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-251615-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1007 AM EST THU JAN 24 2013 /907 AM CST THU JAN 24 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   24-29 (-13)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+3)   72-77 (-25)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G16                  SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      SW 30        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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