

684 

FNUS54 KMRX 232005

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

305 PM EST WED JAN 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION

TONIGHT. VERY LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED. A STRONGER SYSTEM

WILL MOVE IN EARLY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE A THREAT OF HAZARDOUS

FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

305 PM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+3)   24-29 (-4)   18-23        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+33)  28-33 (-4)   67-72        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G21                 SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      4            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.26         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      SW 24        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+2)   23-28 (-6)   19-24        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+33)  29-34 (-3)   62-67        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G26                 SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     N  8 G20     LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         4            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.28         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     W 33         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

305 PM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+6)   27-32 (-6)   21-26        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+28)  27-32 (-5)   69-74        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G22                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G24     NE  7 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         0.43         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     SW 38        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

LIGHT SLEET. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+6)   34-39 (-5)   23-28        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+35)  26-31 (-5)   84-89        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G19                  SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    NE  9 G18    LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         0.49         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      SW 31        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+7)   35-40 (-4)   23-28        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+33)  25-30 (-7)   89-94        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G18                 SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NE  8 G17    LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         0.50         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     SW 36        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   7 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          4                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

305 PM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+4)   28-33 (-4)   20-25        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+33)  26-31 (-4)   69-74        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G16                 SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NE  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      4            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.28         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 22        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...

LIGHT SLEET AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

305 PM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+3)   31-36 (-5)   23-28        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+34)  25-30 (-2)   68-73        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            40           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.36         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      SW 22        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

305 PM EST WED JAN 23 2013 /205 PM CST WED JAN 23 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+2)   36-41 (-5)   25-30        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+38)  26-31 (-1)   78-83        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NE  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            60           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         0.46         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      SW 23        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













