

163 

FNUS54 KMRX 230918

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

418 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.  

HOWEVER...A WEAK IMPULSE MOVING IN TONIGHT MAY PROVIDE THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION WITH PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FREEZING DRIZZLE LATE IN 

THE NIGHT.  A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF 

PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A WARMING 

TREND IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH 

TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE NORMAL.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

418 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+10)  16-21 (+3)   26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+3)   89-94 (+41)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    SW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM                     

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N 15         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS 16 TO 22. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW...LIGHT SLEET...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN

LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO

28. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

418 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+12)  16-21 (+2)   25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   91-96 (+41)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  NW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W 10 G22     N  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM                     

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS 18 TO 23. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW OR RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN

LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO

27. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ072-074-241030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

418 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+14)  20-25 (+6)   29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+2)   84-89 (+23)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  N  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     SW 11 G26    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM                     

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF LIGHT

SLEET. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO

27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-241030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

418 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+14)  25-30 (+7)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   81-86 (+20)  21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  8 G16    N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM                     

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N 18         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-241030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

418 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+13)  26-31 (+8)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   86-91 (+23)  19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         SW  5        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM                     

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             1                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

418 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+10)  19-24 (+3)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+8)   90-95 (+35)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM                     

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N 13         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS 18 TO 24. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF LIGHT

SLEET AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

418 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+10)  22-27 (+4)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+7)   86-91 (+35)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM                     

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      N 14         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF LIGHT

SLEET. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

418 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013 /318 AM CST WED JAN 23 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+12)  27-32 (+6)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (+2)   77-82 (+27)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  6        NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM                     

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      N 17         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN

AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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