

290 

FNUS54 KMRX 230318 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1018 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH A WEAK LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGING WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA ON FRIDAY 

AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A WARMING TREND IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR 

EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE NORMAL.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240430-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1018 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-1)   27-32 (+8)   17-22        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   31-36 (+1)   85-90        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW  8        SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO

24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240430-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1018 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (0)    28-33 (+10)  17-22        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   33-38 (+2)   83-88        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W  9 G17     W 11 G29     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...BREEZY...RAIN...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO

27. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240430-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1018 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (+1)   33-38 (+13)  21-26        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+10)  34-39 (+5)   79-84        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      N  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  8 G19     SW 13 G32    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...WINDY...RAIN...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 10 TO 35 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO

27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240430-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1018 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+1)   38-43 (+12)  26-31        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+6)   31-36 (+7)   75-80        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240430-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1018 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+1)   39-44 (+12)  26-31        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   33-38 (+8)   74-79        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          1                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240430-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1018 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (0)    31-36 (+8)   20-25        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   30-35 (+6)   85-90        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240430-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1018 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+2)   35-40 (+9)   23-28        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   29-34 (+7)   81-86        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...BREEZY...RAIN...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240430-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1018 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2013 /918 PM CST TUE JAN 22 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+2)   39-44 (+9)   27-32        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   29-34 (+6)   74-79        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  6 G15    NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT

SLEET. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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