

313 

FNUS54 KMRX 221534 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1034 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



...ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN A FEW DEGREES TODAY AND THIS CHANGED

RH VALUES SLIGHTLY...ALSO ADJUSTED WINDS SLIGHTLY TODAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A VERY COLD AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINNING ON WEDNESDAY. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION

WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231645-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1034 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-18)  11-16 (-3)   28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-8)   62-67 (+6)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  5         SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 17         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

17 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231645-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1034 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-19)  10-15 (-4)   29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-16)  62-67 (+8)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 13 G24                 W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     W  8 G16     W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 23         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

18 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND

17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-231645-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1034 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-19)  11-16 (-2)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   67-72 (+11)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G18                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     W 22         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO

20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-231645-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1034 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-19)  15-20 (-2)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-6)   72-77 (+13)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     W 16         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-231645-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1034 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-20)  16-21 (-1)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-5)   78-83 (+13)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     W 20         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             1                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1034 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-18)  14-19 (-2)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-6)   62-67 (+6)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G16                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 15         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

19 TO 28. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1034 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-16)  15-20 (-1)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-5)   63-68 (+10)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 13         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231645-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1034 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2013 /934 AM CST TUE JAN 22 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-15)  17-22 (-2)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-6)   66-71 (+13)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     W 14         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TD









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