

622 

FNUS54 KMRX 212008

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

310 PM EST MON JAN 21 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A MUCH COLDER AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINNING 

ON WEDNESDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT THE REGION ON 

THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF WINTRY 

PRECIPITATION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

310 PM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (-14)  20-25 (-17)  8-13         29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-11)  20-25 (-15)  56-61        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W 10 G19     W  6         W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 18 TO 

24. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN...LIGHT 

FREEZING RAIN...OR LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY...AND A CHANCE OF SNOW AT NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (-15)  20-25 (-17)  8-13         29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   22-27 (-19)  62-67        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G23                 W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G31     W 12 G22     W  8 G19     W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 19 TO 

26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN...LIGHT 

FREEZING RAIN...OR LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY...AND A CHANCE OF SNOW AT NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE TEENS. 

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ072-074-222030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

310 PM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (-14)  22-27 (-17)  12-17        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+10)  21-26 (-9)   62-67        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G26     NW  8 G16    W  5         W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN...LIGHT 

FREEZING RAIN...OR LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...BREEZY. RAIN LIKELY...AND A CHANCE OF SNOW AT NIGHT. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE TEENS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-222030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-9)   29-34 (-16)  16-21        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   19-24 (-9)   62-67        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 14         

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY...AND A CHANCE OF SNOW AT NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-222030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-7)   30-35 (-17)  16-21        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   19-24 (-9)   66-71        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          1                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY...AND A CHANCE OF SNOW AT NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

310 PM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-10)  24-29 (-17)  11-16        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-10)  19-24 (-12)  61-66        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W 14         

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN...LIGHT 

SLEET...OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY...AND A CHANCE OF SNOW AT NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. 

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS 

IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

310 PM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-10)  25-30 (-17)  14-19        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-8)   19-24 (-7)   57-62        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY...AND A CHANCE OF SNOW AT NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

310 PM EST MON JAN 21 2013 /210 PM CST MON JAN 21 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-10)  32-37 (-13)  18-23        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-10)  16-21 (-9)   58-63        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY...AND A CHANCE OF SNOW AT NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$







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