

808 

FNUS54 KMRX 210853

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

353 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA TODAY. COLD AND DRY 

WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK...THEN A CHANCE FOR 

PRECIPITATION WILL RETURN BY THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

353 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-10)  11-16 (-13)  20-25        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-7)   61-66 (-7)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G15                  W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W 10 G18     W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 20         

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 15. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...SLIGHT

CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CHANCE OF SNOW...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

353 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   11-16 (-15)  20-25        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  62-67 (-3)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G15                  W 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     W 12 G25     W 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NW 24        

DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT SLEET...LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-221000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

353 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   12-17 (-13)  23-28        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-13)  64-69 (+6)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  N  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  9 G20     NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 19. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND

18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-221000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

353 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-5)   16-21 (-8)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-16)  65-70 (-1)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    N  8         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-221000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

353 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   16-21 (-6)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-15)  69-74 (0)    21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        N  8         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     NW 22        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

353 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   14-19 (-9)   25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-12)  62-67 (-12)  18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W  8 G15     W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 17         

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

353 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   15-20 (-9)   26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-10)  60-65 (-9)   18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  7         W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN

LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

353 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013 /253 AM CST MON JAN 21 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-7)   17-22 (-9)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-14)  61-66 (-9)   18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  7        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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