

811 

FNUS54 KMRX 202026

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

326 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL TRACK THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY...BRINGING

MUCH COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION BY LATE MONDAY. THE COLD DRY WEATHER 

WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK. RAIN WILL RETURN AND WARMER 

TEMPERATURES THURSDAY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

326 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   38-43 (-9)   9-14         19-24        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-7)   30-35 (-9)   73-78        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G19     NW 11 G19    W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      NW 24        

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   93 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+1)   39-44 (-5)   10-15        19-24        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-3)   29-34 (-15)  82-87        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 NW 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     NW 13 G25    W 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 31        

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   103 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 16. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-212130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

326 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   40-45 (-5)   9-14         22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-6)   22-27 (-19)  81-86        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5 G15                  NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     NW 10 G22    NW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW 25        

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-212130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+1)   46-51 (-4)   11-16        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   19-24 (-22)  80-85        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G17     NW  8 G16    NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-212130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+3)   47-52 (-2)   13-18        27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-5)   19-24 (-21)  78-83        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     NW 10 G18    NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 30        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               86 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 18. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

326 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-1)   41-46 (-8)   11-16        22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-8)   27-32 (-14)  82-87        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G18     NW  9 G17    W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

326 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   42-47 (-9)   12-17        25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-6)   25-30 (-12)  74-79        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     NW  8 G16    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 19. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

326 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 /226 PM CST SUN JAN 20 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   46-51 (-6)   15-20        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   22-27 (-15)  69-74        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    NW  7 G16    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



DGS/TD











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