

280 

FNUS54 KMRX 200825

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

325 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A MOISTURE STARVED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA TODAY.  A 

SURGE OF MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO INVADE THE AREA ON 

MONDAY...WITH COLD CONDITIONS LINGERING INTO WEDNESDAY.   





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

325 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    22-27 (-3)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   90-95 (+9)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 26         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 17. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS 15 TO 26. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 16. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   23-28 (-2)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   85-90 (+12)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      W 11 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 32         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

325 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   25-30 (-2)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+9)   82-87 (+12)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 30         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   25-30 (0)    45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+10)  90-95 (+11)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     W 24         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 19. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   25-30 (+3)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+13)  95-100 (+15) 24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     W 26         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

325 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   22-27 (-2)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   93-98 (+6)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 25         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 18. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

325 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   24-29 (-4)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   87-92 (+8)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 23         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

325 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 /225 AM CST SUN JAN 20 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   26-31 (-2)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   89-94 (+9)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     NW 23        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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