

744 

FNUS54 KMRX 170808

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH TODAY AND 

THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT...BRINGING A LARGE AREA OF PRECIPITATION OVER 

THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO 

SNOW THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE IN THE 

MOUNTAINS. DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR THE 

WEEKEND...WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-12)  17-22 (-15)  33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   95-100 (+2)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 10 G20    N  9 G19     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.80         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

17. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-16)  17-22 (-14)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+7)   95-100 (+2)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  9 G25    N 11 G26     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.70         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     NW 21        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

17. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-180900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  18-23 (-14)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   95-100 (+1)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE 10 G22                 NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 13 G32    N 12 G33     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.60         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 18                     N 15         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 25. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

TEENS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S 

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S 

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-180900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-6)   21-26 (-16)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   95-100 (+3)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 11 G20                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 15 G33    N 12 G30     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.58         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 22                     N 17         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-180900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-7)   21-26 (-19)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+3)   95-100 (+5)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 13 G28    N 12 G27     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.78         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 15                      N 16         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-10)  19-24 (-16)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   95-100 (-1)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  9 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 10 G20    N  7 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.20         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 20                     N 13         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-6)   20-25 (-13)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-13)  93-98 (-3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE 10 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 12 G24    N  8 G21     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.79         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 26                     N 12         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013 /500 AM CST THU JAN 17 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   21-26 (-13)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-7)   89-94 (-5)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE 14 G25                 NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 16 G30     N 11 G24     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 33                     N 14         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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