

819 

FNUS54 KMRX 150834

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013



...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...



.DISCUSSION...

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER AROUND THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...CREATING A PROLONGED 

PERIOD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN. NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE 

EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    35-40 (+2)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   95-100 (0)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.78         0.84         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W 23         

DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   39-44 (+2)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   95-100 (+1)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G21     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.73         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 23         

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   39-44 (+2)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   95-100 (0)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5 G18    S  8 G22     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.86         0.56         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   40-45 (+2)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+8)   95-100 (+2)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.79         0.48         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 22        

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COLDER. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    43-48 (+2)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   95-100 (+1)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.46         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               12 POOR      

MAX LVORI             9                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   38-43 (+2)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   95-100 (+1)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.96         0.74         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W 22         

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   36-41 (+2)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   95-100 (+2)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.01         0.57         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      W 16         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013 /500 AM CST TUE JAN 15 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    36-41 (+2)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   95-100 (+2)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.94         0.41         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W 15         

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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