
078 
FNUS54 KMRX 131954
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
254 PM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE REGION TONIGHT. THIS COLD FRONT WILL
BRING AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF RAIN INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...BEFORE
LINGERING NEAR THE MOUNTAINS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS TO FLOOD.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THIS
WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
254 PM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-11)  45-50 (-21)  35-40        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  71-76 (+16)  91-96        76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    N  9 G17     NE  7 G15    N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.36         0.43         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NE  3        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
254 PM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   48-53 (-19)  38-43        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  62-67 (+12)  90-95        68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G23     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           90           
PRECIP DURATION       6            5            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.59         0.66         0.49         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      S  3         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-142100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
254 PM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-10)  47-52 (-17)  41-46        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 68-73 (+9)   89-94        68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G29    NE  6        E  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           90           
PRECIP DURATION       7            8            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.82         0.61         0.52         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SE  7        
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-142100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
254 PM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-9)   50-55 (-15)  42-47        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 72-77 (+7)   95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G26     N  6 G15     NE  6 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           90           
PRECIP DURATION       7            8            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.78         0.72         0.54         0.54         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NE  6        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-142100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
254 PM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   51-56 (-14)  44-49        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  74-79 (+9)   95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           90           
PRECIP DURATION       7            8            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.80         0.56         0.56         0.63         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     E  5         
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          6                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
254 PM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-11)  47-52 (-21)  37-42        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  72-77 (+21)  92-97        75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    N  8 G16     NE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.56         0.51         0.36         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NE  3        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
254 PM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-16)  44-49 (-20)  36-41        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 64-69 (0)    90-95        70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G22    N 10 G20     NE  7 G16    N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.58         0.37         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      NE  7        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
254 PM EST SUN JAN 13 2013 /154 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-15)  45-50 (-20)  37-42        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  62-67 (-8)   88-93        70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G16                  N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     N 10 G19     NE  9 G16    NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           90           
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.81         0.47         0.40         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      NE  8        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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