
148 
FNUS54 KMRX 130820
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

...BREEZY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY 
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING AN EXTENSIVE 
AREA OF RAIN INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...BEFORE STALLING OUT NEAR THE 
MOUNTAINS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY 
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WHICH COULD CAUSE 
SOME AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS TO FLOOD. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 
BE NEAR RECORD LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL THEN FALL BACK 
CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   40-45 (-13)  44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-19)  92-97 (0)    66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G21     SW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.55         0.48         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    43-48 (-9)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-16)  95-100 (+4)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     SW 11 G23    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.37         0.66         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 14         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-140915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    42-47 (-11)  47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-16)  92-97 (+6)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 15 G30                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G29     SW 14 G31    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.57         0.66         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     W 13         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-140915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   43-48 (-11)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-15)  86-91 (0)    58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G24                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     SW 11 G26    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.60         0.62         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     W 12         
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-140915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   44-49 (-7)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-19)  93-98 (+1)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S 10 G20     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.49         0.55         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     SW 15        
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       
MAX LVORI             4                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    43-48 (-11)  46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-13)  93-98 (+5)   71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.56         0.61         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 13 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    40-45 (-17)  45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-15)  87-92 (+1)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G23                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     W 10 G23     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.76         0.51         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     N 12         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 13 2013 /500 AM CST SUN JAN 13 2013/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-1)   41-46 (-16)  46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-19)  86-91 (-2)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G23                  N  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G23     W 10 G21     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.70         0.58         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     N 12         
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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