
344 
FNUS54 KMRX 121943
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
243 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO TONIGHT...THEN A STRONG COLD FRONT 
WILL ENTER THE REGION ON SUNDAY INCREASING THE RAIN CHANCES BY 
SUNDAY EVENING. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE 
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WHICH COULD CAUSE RISES ON AREA STREAMS. DRIER 
WEATHER RETURNS BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK ALONG WITH MORE SEASONAL 
TEMPERATURES.   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
243 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   65-70 (-1)   42-47        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  59-64 (-14)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 11 G20     SW  9 G19    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.58         0.50         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     N  7         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   63-68 (-2)   46-51        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  62-67 (-6)   92-97        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     SW 11 G20    SW  9 G19    N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.40         0.62         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-132045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
243 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    62-67 (-2)   45-50        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   57-62 (-11)  91-96        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G26                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G22     S 15 G28     SW 10 G26    NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.47         0.65         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      N  8         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-132045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   67-72 (0)    46-51        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   63-68 (-7)   87-92        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G22                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S 14 G25     SW  8 G23    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.16         0.45         0.65         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      NE 10        
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-132045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   66-71 (-1)   47-52        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   63-68 (-7)   90-95        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S 11 G21     SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.39         0.60         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      N  8         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   12 POOR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
243 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   67-72 (-1)   44-49        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   60-65 (-5)   92-97        68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    SW  8 G16    NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.53         0.62         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      N  6         
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
243 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   67-72 (-1)   42-47        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   62-67 (-6)   91-96        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G20                  N  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     S 12 G22     W  9 G20     NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.32         0.48         0.51         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      N 10         
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
243 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2013 /143 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-3)   68-73 (-1)   42-47        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  65-70 (-8)   92-97        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G19                  N  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S 12 G22     NW 10 G19    NE  8        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.42         0.44         0.63         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      N 14         
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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