
127 
FNUS54 KMRX 120835
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

.DISCUSSION...
AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS WEEKEND...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS 
EXPECTED EACH DAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE REGION BY 
SUNDAY NIGHT...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL FOR MONDAY 
AND TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR RECORD LEVELS 
TODAY...BUT WILL THEN FALL BACK TO MORE SEASONAL LEVELS BEHIND THE 
COLD FRONT FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+7)   52-57 (+4)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-17)  89-94 (-8)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  6         SW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 33        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   50-55 (+3)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-9)   92-97 (-5)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G17     SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      SW 29        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-130915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   49-54 (-2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-13)  89-94 (-8)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G20                 SW 12 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S 10 G27     SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     SW 36        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 
30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-130915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+5)   52-57 (-3)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-16)  88-93 (-9)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  S 10 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S 10 G24     S  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW 32        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-130915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+6)   51-56 (-3)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-17)  89-94 (-8)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  9 G19     S  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 30        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+6)   53-58 (+3)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-10)  88-93 (-9)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW 31        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST SAT JAN 12 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   54-59 (0)    65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-12)  87-92 (-10)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     SW 10 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  8 G20     SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 36        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST SAT JAN 12 2013 /500 AM CST SAT JAN 12 2013/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   54-59 (-4)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-15)  87-92 (-10)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G15                  S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     S  9 G21     SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 35        
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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