
599 
FNUS54 KMRX 111949
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
249 PM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM AND MOIST FLOW CONTINUES FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND...WITH HEAVIER RAINS EXPECTED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AHEAD OF 
ANOTHER COLD FRONT. RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY OCCUR SATURDAY...
FOLLOWED BY THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
249 PM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   67-72 (+8)   51-56        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  60-65 (-16)  91-96        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    SW  7        S  7 G15     SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     S 17         
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   65-70 (+6)   48-53        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  58-63 (-11)  94-99        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SW  5        S  7 G20     SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     S 16         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-122100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
249 PM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   63-68 (+4)   48-53        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  62-67 (-13)  90-95        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 SW 12 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     SW  8 G18    S 13 G27     SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.05         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     S 28         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-122100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   68-73 (+6)   51-56        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  62-67 (-15)  90-95        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S  9 G16     S 11 G23     S 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.05         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     S 31         
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-122100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   68-73 (+7)   51-56        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  61-66 (-17)  89-94        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  7         S 10 G20     S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     S 25         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
249 PM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   68-73 (+7)   49-54        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  57-62 (-12)  92-97        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.02         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     S 20         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
249 PM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   68-73 (+4)   52-57        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  61-66 (-10)  87-92        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S  9 G18     S  9 G21     SW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.09         0.02         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     S 32         
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   75 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
249 PM EST FRI JAN 11 2013 /149 PM CST FRI JAN 11 2013/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    70-75 (+5)   52-57        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  58-63 (-18)  93-98        63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G16                  S 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  9 G17     S 10 G22     SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.10         0.02         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     S 37         
DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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