
014 
FNUS54 KMRX 110830
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

...BREEZY AND WET CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...BRINGING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND AN 
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A COLD 
FRONT WILL THEN SLOWLY DRIFT ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY EARLY 
NEXT WEEK...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL ON MONDAY AND 
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL 
THROUGH MONDAY...WITH RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   48-53 (+2)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+12)  95-100 (+7)  65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G22     SW  8 G16    SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     SW 26        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   46-51 (+2)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+11)  95-100 (+7)  65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G29                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G28     S  8 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-120915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   48-53 (+1)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   95-100 (+7)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 18 G36                  SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G34     SW 10 G23    S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.09         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     SW 24        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH... SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S 
TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-120915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   52-57 (0)    65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+4)   95-100 (+5)  64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G30                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G27     S  8 G17     S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.12         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-120915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    52-57 (+1)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+6)   95-100 (+5)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G23                  S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G20     S  5         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.11         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   48-53 (+1)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+11)  95-100 (+7)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G21    S  6         SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.06         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     SW 24        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 
50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST FRI JAN 11 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+5)   52-57 (+1)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+5)   95-100 (+4)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G25                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     SW  8 G17    S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     SW 28        
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 
30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST FRI JAN 11 2013 /500 AM CST FRI JAN 11 2013/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   55-60 (+1)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   93-98 (+2)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G24                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S  8 G16     S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.12         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     SW 28        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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