
437 
FNUS54 KMRX 092009
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
309 PM EST WED JAN 9 2013

.DISCUSSION...
WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF OF 
MEXICO...CREATING PERIODS OF SHOWERS RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
HEAVIER RAINS MAY OCCUR FROM EARLY TO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. 
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL...WITH RECORD HIGHS 
POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
309 PM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   58-63 (+6)   44-49        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+6)   56-61 (-8)   91-96        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      S 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 36        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+9)   57-62 (+7)   44-49        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  53-58 (-11)  86-91        65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5 G15                  S 14 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G18    LGT/VAR      S 10 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-102115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
309 PM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+10)  57-62 (+6)   47-52        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+8)   60-65 (+3)   87-92        63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 16 G32     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     LGT/VAR      S 12 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.02         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      SW 37        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-102115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   61-66 (+5)   48-53        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  60-65 (-9)   95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6 G18                  S 14 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 10 G17    S  6 G19     S 10 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.08         0.03         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 20                     S 33         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-102115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   62-67 (+6)   47-52        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 61-66 (-6)   95-100       72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  7 G18                  SE 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 10        S  6 G17     SE  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.07         0.06         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 20                     S 29         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
309 PM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+8)   60-65 (+8)   44-49        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  52-57 (-12)  87-92        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17    LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.02         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     S 30         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
309 PM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+7)   60-65 (+7)   49-54        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  58-63 (-7)   87-92        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      S 10 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.03         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     S 37         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
309 PM EST WED JAN 9 2013 /209 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   62-67 (+7)   51-56        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  56-61 (-15)  94-99        63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G16    SE  7 G18    S  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.08         0.06         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 21                     S 36         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TG

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